From filing to grant: Predicting patent outcomes in FinTech using a predictive analytics perspective
Yazarlar (3)
Milad Armani Dehghani
Nottingham Trent University, İngiltere
Doç. Dr. Mehmet ŞAHİNER Yalova Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Noptanit Chotisarn
Thammasat Business School, Tayland
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (ESCI dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı World Patent Information
Dergi ISSN 0172-2190 Dergi Bilgileri (2025)
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 12-2025
Kabul Tarihi – Yayınlanma Tarihi 01-03-2026
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 84 / 1 / – DOI 10.1016/j.wpi.2025.102423
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wpi.2025.102423
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Finansal Teknoloji
Özet
Patents are critical indicators of innovation, especially in fast-evolving domains like Financial Technology (FinTech). However, accurately predicting patent grant outcomes with modern artificial intelligence techniques has remained challenging. This study addresses that gap by applying state-of-the-art machine learning (ML), including ensemble methods and deep learning models, to a dataset of 20,008 FinTech patent applications from 2000 to 2020. We demonstrate that our ML framework can forecast grant success with high precision (up to 89 %), revealing that patent quality and strategic filing choices, such as optimal IPC classes and jurisdictions, are key determinants of grant probability. The findings highlight practical implications for innovators and intellectual property managers, such as better resource allocation and informed patent strategy decisions. Overall, this work introduces a novel, AI-driven approach to patent analytics in FinTech, offering a forward-looking tool to enhance innovation management and strategic IP planning.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Financial technology | Machine learning | Patent quality | Patent strategy | Probability of grant | Technology trends