Is Global Climate Change Affecting Intra-Industry Trade? Econometric Evidence for the Fisheries Sector in Turkey
    
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Ahmet Emrah TAYYAR Yalova Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Panoeconomicus
Dergi ISSN 1452-595X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 04-2024
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 71 / 3 / 455–478 DOI 10.2298/PAN200830003T
Makale Linki http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/ft.aspx?id=1452-595X2200003T
Özet
The main objective of this study was to investigate whether the intraindustrial trade structure of the Turkish fisheries sector has been affected by global climate change. Therefore, the surface temperatures of the Black Sea, Marmara, Mediteranean and Aegean seas and the Grubel-Lloyd index values related to the sector for the period 1985-2017 were used as variables in the study. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test was used to determine the cointegration relationship between variables and to predict longterm coefficients. The Error Correction Model (ECM) method was used to determine the short-term coefficients. According to the results of the analyses: (i) There is a long-term relationship between the variables; (ii) Increases in the surface temperature of the Aegean, Mediterranean and Marmara seas have reduced intra-industrial trade in the long-term; (iii) The increase in the Black Sea surface temperature has increased intra-industry trade in the long-term; (iv) The increase in sea surface temperatures has shown a tendency to increase intraindustry trade from the southern seas towards the northern seas in Turkey. Consequently, global climate change can be considered as a change in intra-industry trade for both the country and the industry.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Fisheries sector | Global climate change | Grubel-Lloyd index | Intra-industry trade | Turkey